PATTERNS, PROBABILITY, AND STATISTICS
SPORTS
Knight Foundation Summer Institute
Jennifer Fisher, Bryn Mawr College
Introduction:
This lesson focuses on patterns, probability and statistics in a sports setting. It would be beneficial for the students to have this lesson in an interdisciplinary unit where other subjects were also teaching units in relation to sports. Students do not realize how much of their world is ruled by mathematics or relates in some way to mathematics. By relating mathematics to their favorite sports, or by disguising mathematics as everyday sports problems, hopefully students will take an interest in the topic at hand and be able to apply the concepts from a sports scene to other parts of life. Sports are also a way to encourage the curiosity of students. Many of them will know terms such as batting average, standings, GAA, etc. but are unable to calculate these results. They can soon realize that these problems are simple mathematics which they could learn in school and further their understanding of the terms that they hear in sports.
There are three parts to this lesson. As a warm up each day, the teacher could review the vocabulary from that section and quickly go over the concepts from the previous day. Then the teacher can begin the new activity, teaching the concepts where appropriate.
Objectives:
Vocabulary:
#1
Central Tendency
Mean
Mode
Median
Range
MPH
#2
Probability
Batting Average
Fractional Batting Average
Decimal Batting Average
Accurate
#3
Pattern
Order
Increasing
Decreasing
CLASS ACTIVITIES
Exercise #1 Running Average
Materials:
Procedure:
Note: if the students were able to run twice, have the students find out the average of their two times and use this as their input to the class
Time in seconds X ( 1 minute / 60 seconds) X ( I hour / 60 minutes) = Time in hours
Distance in meters X (1 mile/ 1609 meters) = Distance in miles
Distance in miles / Time in hours = MPH
Assessments:
A vocabulary test could help to demonstrate the students' understanding of the concepts of mean, mode, median, and range as could an evaluation of the students' final charts. Each student could also be asked to explain one of these concepts using an example from their favorite sport. If the students are given a set of data from another class, they should last be able to find the mean, mode, median, and range of this new set of information.
Extension:
Have the students make a chart of everyone's birthday month. Convert the names of the months into numbers; January = l, February = 2, ..., December = 12; the students must find the mean, mode, median, and range for the class birthdays.
Exercise #2 Batting Average
Materials:
Procedure:
Assessments:
The students should be graded on their understanding of the vocabulary words and on their understanding of applying these concepts to the project. They could be given a set of data from another class and asked to repeat the calculations they have learned on this new set of information. The students may also be asked to look in a newspaper or on the internet and find the batting averages of a baseball team or a few players. The teacher could explain how to convert these decimals into fractions. (Move the decimal place over and place it over a multiple of ten that corresponds with the number of places of the decimal, e.g.; .354 = 354/1000).
Extension:
Have the students repeat the activity and see how many keep the same batting average. If they were to use all ten tries now what would their new batting average be? Lead a discussion as to if using ten tries would give a more accurate result about their hitting ability. Explain that as more information is taken into account, the results become more accurate. Another project would be to look at the standings in the Newspaper and figure out what all of the categories mean.
Exercise #3 Patterns in Sports
Materials:
Procedure:
Assessments:
The students should have a full understanding of the vocabulary and the concept of finding patterns. They should be graded on the creation of their own pattern problem because this will be the best indicator if they completely understand the concept. As a review, the students could solve a pattern problem a day that will be put on the board. The first one to solve the problem could get to put one up the following day or get extra credit or a prize.
Extension:
The students could find patterns in systems that are not only numbers, for example in pictures, names, colors etc. The students would have to find a pattern in school or in their own lives and report it back to the class.
Philadelphia Mathematics Content Standards:
Mathematics Content Standard 1- Number Systems: Arithmetic, Relationships and Theory
As part one of this standard requires, graphing information to see relationships can be found throughout this lesson. The second part requires students to "develop and use relations for whole numbers, fractions, decimals..." which is completed while evaluating the baseball bat activity. Also in this part of the activity, the student must convert fractions to decimals to percents and back again which satisfies part seven. This same issue is dealt with in part nine where the students must "investigate relationships among fractions, decimals and percents."
Mathematics Content Standard 4- Patterns, Algebra, and Fractions
Part five states that students must be able to "detect patterns and functions from statistical data and predict future outcomes" and this is completed by the worksheet where the students must predict the next number once a pattern is established.
Mathematics Content Standard 5- Using Data, Statistics, and Probability
Part two says that students must "demonstrate and use measures of central tendency such as mean, median, and mode and measures of variability such as range and quartiles." The next one states students need to "hypothesize conclusions and make convincing arguments based on data analysis" which the students will do as part of the running exercise. Finally part six states that students will "compare experimental results with mathematical expectations" which is done when the students repeat the baseball activity and must see if their averages stay the same.
Cross References:
The students will be using scientific techniques while running the experiments and recording the information. The students will be using reading and writing skills while doing and creating the pattern problems. They will also be doing some research to find the batting averages and other information of major league baseball stats.